CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-06-13T00:06:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-06-13T00:06ZCME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-06-16T17:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
Event id="418" SIDC URSIGRAM 40614 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Jun 2024, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST ... Coronal mass ejections: A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) has been detected around 15:24 UTC on June 13 in SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronagraph imagery. The CME is mostly directed to the west. The CME source region is believed to be behind the west limb and no impact on Earth is expected. Analysis of the faint partial halo CME detected around 23:32 UTC on June 12 in SOHO/LASCO-C2 suggests a potential Earth-directed component. A glancing blow from this CME might arrive at Earth early on June 16. No other Earth- directed CMEs were observed in the available coronagraph imagery.Lead Time: 52.80 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Hannah Hermann (M2M Office) on 2024-06-14T12:12Z
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